6

Walley World

5yo Horse · 9-0 · OR 106

Saratoga · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 1f

#8

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength23%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gulfstream 30/01/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 95 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark30/01/2025 · OR 95 par30/01C8OR 95C7 @ Gulfstream 27/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 98 · 1m Fas 122 · below its mark27/03/2025 · OR 98 parC7 @ Belmont At The Big A 21/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 97 · 1m110y Fm 124 · beat its mark21/06/2025 · OR 97 par21/06C7OR 97C5 @ Saratoga 09/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 96 · 1m Fm 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/08/2025 · OR 96 parC5 @ Kentucky Downs 04/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 100 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/09/2025 · OR 100 par4/09C5OR 100C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 18/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 98 · 1m110y Fm 124 · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 98 parC6 @ Gulfstream 24/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 105 · 1m Gd 121 · below its mark24/01/2026 · OR 105 par24/01C6OR 105C6 @ Gulfstream 24/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 105 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 105 parC6 @ Saratoga 11/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 103 · 1m Fm 126 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 103 par11/07C6OR 103projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Saratoga?3rd3rd0
2026-04-24Gulfstream?2nd2nd0
2026-01-24Gulfstream?5th5th0
2025-10-18Belmont At The Big A?4th5th1
2025-09-04Kentucky Downs?2nd1st+1
2025-08-09Saratoga?2nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/019/0824/0111/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 14
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength71%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/01/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
27/03/20252nd9/276%83%+0.07
21/06/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
09/08/20252nd4/179%88%+0.09
04/09/20252nd2/189%90%+0.01
18/10/20254th5/287%70%-0.17
24/01/20265th8/158%56%-0.02
24/04/20262nd9/276%90%+0.14
11/07/20263rd5/174%75%+0.01