
Walley World
5yo Horse · 9-0 · OR 106
Saratoga · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 1f
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-09-04 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 27/03/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 21/06/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 09/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 04/09/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 90% | +0.01 |
| 18/10/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 70% | -0.17 |
| 24/01/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |