7

Acoustic Ave

6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 102

Saratoga · Race 9 - John Morrissey Stakes · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength62%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.9
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Belmont At The Big A 25/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 111 · 6f110y 123 · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 111 par25/10C5OR 111C6 @ Aqueduct 27/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 110 · 6f110y Fas 122 · below its mark27/12/2025 · OR 110 parC6 @ Aqueduct 23/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 109 · 6f 123 · beat its mark23/01/2026 · OR 109 par23/01C6OR 109C5 @ Aqueduct 14/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 107 · 7f Fas 121 · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 107 parC1 @ Aqueduct 28/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 112 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 112 par28/02C1OR 112C0 @ Aqueduct 04/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 108 · 7f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 108 parC1 @ Belmont At The Big A 09/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 110 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 110 par9/05C1OR 110C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 28/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 107 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 107 parC6 @ Saratoga 26/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 105 · 6f110y Fas 123 · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 105 par26/07C6OR 105projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Saratoga?5th6th1
2026-06-28Belmont At The Big A?4th5th1
2026-05-09Belmont At The Big A?2nd-3th+4
2026-04-04Aqueduct?5th0th+4
2026-02-28Aqueduct?4th-1th+4
2026-02-14Aqueduct?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/1014/029/0526/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 13
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength47%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/10/20253rd5/287%71%-0.15
27/12/20254th8/1196%40%-0.56
23/01/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
14/02/20262nd9/276%83%+0.07
28/02/20264th11/271%25%-0.46
04/04/20265th25/10%0%0.00
09/05/20262nd8/158%80%+0.22
28/06/20264th6/168%50%-0.18
26/07/20265th10/147%33%-0.14