Bold Journey
7yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 101
Saratoga · Race 9 - John Morrissey Stakes · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-04-17 | Keeneland | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | -4th | +4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 27/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 25/10/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 27/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 33% | -0.57 |
| 28/02/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |