1
Dr. Kraft
6yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 99
Saratoga · Race 9 - John Morrissey Stakes · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2025-11-22 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength46%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 20/06/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 18/10/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 89% | +0.31 |
| 25/10/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 22/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 11/01/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 29/03/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |