12
Drake's Passage
6yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 100
Saratoga · Race 9 - John Morrissey Stakes · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
8/11
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-13 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-06-04 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-04 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength86%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2024 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 03/08/2024 | 6th | 4/9 | 98% | 0% | -0.98 |
| 27/10/2024 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 13% | -0.73 |
| 04/05/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 04/06/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 12/07/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 13/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 03/06/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |