13
Radio Red
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 93
Saratoga · Race 9 - John Morrissey Stakes · 7f
#11
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-03-29 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-04-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 13
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2024 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 18/01/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 15/02/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 06/04/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 07/06/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |