4

Hope And Mercy

6yo Mare · 11-11

Sligo · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race · 2m 2f 134y

#11

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held at longish odds in pair of bumpers 9 months apart. Plenty to prove following 60-day absence.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 07/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 2m90y Goo 1587/06C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-07Punchestown?8th8th0
2025-09-08Galway?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength11%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/06/20268th33/10%22%+0.22