7

Pamelaisbrass

5yo Mare · 11-11

Sligo · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race · 2m 2f 134y

#9

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed a bit more than previously but still beaten 17½ lengths on third start in bumper at Ballinrobe last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Naas 22/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m7f110y Hvy 15422/02C?C0 @ Bellewstown 04/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 2m1f40y Gd 1544/07C?C0 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m7f119y Gd 16121/07C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Ballinrobe?6th6th0
2026-07-04Bellewstown?10th10th0
2026-02-22Naas?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/024/0721/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength91%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/02/20266th100/10%0%0.00
04/07/202610th200/10%40%+0.40
21/07/20266th100/10%58%+0.58