5
Athenian Spirit
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 51
Southwell · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 14y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Lingfield | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Doncaster | 6 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Lingfield | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Lingfield | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 14% | -0.41 |
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 06/11/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 44% | -0.21 |
| 07/01/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 14/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 02/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 14/06/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 8% | +0.02 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 21/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |