9

Go Teejay

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 45

Southwell · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 14y

#10

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has little ability and looked a hard ride to boot at Newcastle last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength55%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Carlisle 29/05/2025 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 5f182y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS29/0534 @ Newcastle 19/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 6f Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS19/0344 @ Pontefract 07/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f GS 133 · HIGHER CLASS7/0446 @ Doncaster 02/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 45 · 7f6y Goo 117 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 45 par2/056OR 456 @ Redcar 18/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 45 · 7f Goo 121 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 45 par18/056OR 456 @ Newcastle 25/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 42 · 7f14y Sta 128 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 42 par25/076OR 42projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Newcastle69th9th0
2026-05-18Redcar610th10th0
2026-05-02Doncaster66th6th0
2026-04-07Pontefract48th6th+2
2026-03-19Newcastle48th6th+2
2025-05-29Carlisle313th9th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0519/037/042/0518/0525/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength29%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/05/202513th28/10%0%0.00
19/03/20268th22/10%30%+0.30
07/04/20268th125/10%13%+0.13
02/05/20266th40/10%38%+0.38
18/05/202610th28/10%0%0.00
25/07/20269th50/10%33%+0.33