6
Hear The Drums
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 51
Southwell · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 14y
#4
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength55%
What the class read says
Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Beverley | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Catterick | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Redcar | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Leicester | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Newcastle | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-25 | Ripon | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2025 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/08/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/08/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 13% | -0.30 |
| 30/09/2025 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 28/10/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 20/04/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 18% | -0.40 |
| 21/05/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 30% | -0.33 |
| 16/06/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |