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2

Lady Fizz

3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 55

Southwell · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 14y

#7

Rank

Odds

300/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Just poor form at best in 3 runs to date but at least now gets a crack at a low-grade handicap.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength84%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newmarket 15/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS15/0424 @ Kempton 02/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS2/0744 @ Southwell 23/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 7f14y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS23/074projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Southwell49th7th+2
2026-07-02Kempton46th4th+2
2026-04-15Newmarket28th3rd+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/042/0723/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength49%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/04/20268th125/10%0%0.00
02/07/20266th200/10%38%+0.38
23/07/20269th300/10%27%+0.27