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3

Miss Mambo

3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 53

Southwell · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 14y

#3

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ran about as well as could be expected in first-time blinkers when sixth of 11 in maiden at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 39 days ago, having run of race. Each-way claims if reproducing that effort back in handicap company.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength67%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Chelmsford City 05/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS5/0655 @ Nottingham 26/06/2025 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 6f18y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS26/0654 @ Kempton 06/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m Sta 125 · HIGHER CLASS6/0444 @ Bath 17/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 59 · 1m GS 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 59 par17/044OR 596 @ Ripon 08/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 59 · 1m Gd 134 · below its mark08/05/2026 · OR 59 par8/056OR 596 @ Wolverhampton 02/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 57 · 1m4f51y Std 132 · below its mark02/06/2026 · OR 57 par2/066OR 574 @ Wolverhampton 28/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 53 · 1m1f104y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 53 par28/064OR 53projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-28Wolverhampton46th4th+2
2026-06-02Wolverhampton67th7th0
2026-05-08Ripon66th6th0
2026-04-17Bath43rd1st+2
2026-04-06Kempton47th5th+2
2025-06-26Nottingham513th12th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0617/0428/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength53%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/06/20254th6/168%67%-0.02
26/06/202513th11/271%0%-0.71
06/04/20267th40/10%33%+0.33
17/04/20263rd12/137%60%+0.23
08/05/20266th22/10%17%+0.17
02/06/20267th50/10%14%+0.14
28/06/20266th33/10%50%+0.50