Mist Of Time
3yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 47
Southwell · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 14y
#2
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Brighton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Yarmouth | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Lingfield | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-07 | Southwell | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 07/10/2025 | 11th | 200/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 30/10/2025 | 5th | 150/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 04/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |