7
Soda
3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 50
Southwell · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 14y
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength64%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Carlisle | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Redcar | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Thirsk | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ripon | 4 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-04-22 | Catterick | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/06/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/07/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |