Here Comes Louie
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 51
Southwell · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 14y
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Thirsk | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Wetherby | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Southwell | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-10-24 | Southwell | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Redcar | 4 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/10/2025 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 05/04/2026 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/06/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |