Speckled Brown
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 46
Southwell · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 14y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Redcar | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ripon | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Windsor | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-13 | Kempton | 2 | 11th | 6th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 22/06/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 19/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |