2
Starakova
3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 54
Southwell · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 14y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Windsor | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Leicester | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Southwell | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 25/07/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/08/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/09/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 42% | +0.05 |
| 12/03/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 13/04/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.17 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 08/06/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 45% | +0.03 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |