8
Court Of Stars
3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 67
Southwell · Simon Davis Big 60th Birthday Bash Fillies' Handicap · 1m 14y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Windsor | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Kempton | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 11
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 24/09/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 13/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 89% | -0.03 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 28/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 17/07/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 10% | -0.51 |