7
Zarinca
3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 68
Southwell · Simon Davis Big 60th Birthday Bash Fillies' Handicap · 1m 14y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Nottingham | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Pontefract | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Southwell | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Newcastle | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 11
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 07/10/2025 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 17/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |