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3

Baarberini

2yo Colt · 9-4

Southwell · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 14y

#3

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

20,000 gns yearling, St Mark's Basilica colt. Half-brother to French 10.4f winner Galimatia. Showed plenty amidst inexperience when third of 11 in 7f novice at Kempton on debut 38 days ago. That form is working out quite well and he seems sure to improve over this extra 1f.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 29/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 7f Sta 13029/064
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-29Kempton43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength48%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/06/20263rd16/116%80%+0.64