4
Bullrider
2yo Colt · 9-4 · OR 76
Southwell · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 14y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
78%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength41%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Southwell | 2 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-07-01 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength76%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 82% | -0.02 |