8
Court Drive
5yo Mare · 9-2 · OR 63
Southwell · Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap (Div 1) · 6f 17y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Lingfield | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Newmarket | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Yarmouth | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-05 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Southwell | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 26/12/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 19/01/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 07/02/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 02/03/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 05/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |