7
Daytona Lady
6yo Mare · 9-4 · OR 65
Southwell · Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap (Div 1) · 6f 17y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#3
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Pontefract | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Southwell | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-05 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength68%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 25/10/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 55% | -0.03 |
| 05/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 21/04/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 05/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 21/05/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 08/06/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 06/07/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |