IvyArcIvyArc
3

Miraculous

4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 69

Southwell · Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap (Div 1) · 6f 17y

#8

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has tumbled down the weights and not seen to best effect when forced wide over 5f at Chester last time. Now drops markedly in grade and is one to take seriously back up to 6f and returned to all-weather.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength75%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Wolverhampton 18/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 85 · 6f20y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 85 par18/103OR 854 @ Catterick 08/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 82 · 5f212y Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 82 par4 @ Chester 08/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 80 · 6f17y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 80 par8/054OR 804 @ Newmarket 16/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 79 · 6f Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 20 · OR 77 · 6f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 77 par23/054OR 773 @ Chester 13/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 76 · 6f17y Goo 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 76 par2 @ Ripon 18/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 76 · 6f Goo 116 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 76 par18/062OR 763 @ Doncaster 03/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 74 · 5f3y GF 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ Chester 25/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 71 · 5f15y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 71 par25/074OR 71projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Chester48th7th+1
2026-07-03Doncaster37th5th+2
2026-06-18Ripon25th1st+3
2026-06-13Chester33rd1st+2
2026-05-23York49th8th+1
2026-05-16Newmarket45th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/1016/0518/0625/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength36%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/10/20259th11/271%11%-0.60
08/04/20266th6/168%38%-0.31
08/05/20265th11/142%64%+0.22
16/05/20265th13/266%56%-0.10
23/05/20269th28/10%58%+0.58
13/06/20263rd5/174%78%+0.04
18/06/20265th11/271%33%-0.38
03/07/20267th17/255%0%-0.55
25/07/20268th9/153%30%-0.23