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5

Pickersgill

4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 67

Southwell · Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap (Div 1) · 6f 17y

#2

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

21%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Good second of 12 in a handicap over C&D 10 days ago, picked off only by a rejuvenated stable-switcher and she looks set to run well once more if her free-going nature doesn't get the better of her.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 26/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 65 · 7f36y Std 135 · beat its mark26/01/2026 · OR 65 par26/016OR 656 @ Newcastle 14/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 63 · 6f Sta 135 · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Wolverhampton 17/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 62 · 7f36y Std 132 · beat its mark17/03/2026 · OR 62 par17/036OR 625 @ Southwell 07/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 63 · 7f14y Std 141 · beat its mark07/04/2026 · OR 63 par5 @ Hamilton 04/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 68 · 6f6y Goo 133 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 68 par4/065OR 685 @ Carlisle 15/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 68 · 6f195y Goo 142 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Southwell 05/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 67 · 7f14y Std 132 · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 67 par5/075OR 675 @ Wolverhampton 17/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 67 · 7f36y Std 139 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Southwell 27/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 67 · 6f16y Std 127 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 67 par27/075OR 67projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-27Southwell52nd2nd0
2026-07-17Wolverhampton57th7th0
2026-07-05Southwell52nd2nd0
2026-06-15Carlisle55th5th0
2026-06-04Hamilton57th7th0
2026-04-07Southwell51st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/017/045/0727/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength21%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/01/20264th33/10%70%+0.70
14/02/20267th9/153%33%-0.19
17/03/20262nd11/142%88%+0.45
07/04/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
04/06/20267th15/261%25%-0.36
15/06/20265th16/116%56%+0.40
05/07/20262nd9/276%88%+0.11
17/07/20267th11/271%40%-0.31
27/07/20262nd22/10%91%+0.91