1

Beattie Is Back

7yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 70

Southwell · Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap (Div 2) · 6f 17y

#9

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Just failed at Wolverhampton (7f) in February and not seen to best effect on next 2 outings. Shaped better than distance beaten suggests at York last time, faring best of those racing in stand-side group. Is kept to 6f but can't be taken lightly from 2 lb below last winning mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Doncaster 15/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 72 · 7f6y Goo 132 · beat its mark15/06/2025 · OR 72 par15/065OR 724 @ Doncaster 28/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 76 · 7f6y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/06/2025 · OR 76 par4 @ Southwell 20/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 76 · 6f16y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/01/2026 · OR 76 par20/014OR 764 @ Newcastle 31/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 75 · 7f14y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/01/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Wolverhampton 27/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 75 · 7f36y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/02/2026 · OR 75 par27/024OR 754 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 15th of 20 · OR 76 · 6f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 76 par5 @ Ripon 03/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 75 · 6f Gd 135 · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 75 par3/065OR 755 @ Ripon 17/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 74 · 6f Gd 141 · below its mark17/06/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ York 24/07/2026 · Pos 15th of 21 · OR 72 · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 72 par24/074OR 72projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24York415th14th+1
2026-06-17Ripon55th5th0
2026-06-03Ripon56th6th0
2026-05-23York415th14th+1
2026-02-27Wolverhampton42nd1st+1
2026-01-31Newcastle44th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0631/013/0624/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/06/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
28/06/20257th11/271%50%-0.21
20/01/20266th40/10%44%+0.44
31/01/20264th3/184%63%-0.22
27/02/20262nd11/271%91%+0.20
23/05/202615th40/10%26%+0.26
03/06/20266th6/168%44%-0.24
17/06/20265th9/153%20%-0.33
24/07/202615th50/10%30%+0.30