8
Camera Shy
4yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 63
Southwell · Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap (Div 2) · 6f 17y
#8
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | Ayr | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-07 | Southwell | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Newcastle | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Southwell | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Southwell | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 18/12/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 70% | +0.23 |
| 06/01/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 13% | -0.53 |
| 30/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 28/02/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 14/03/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 07/04/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |
| 05/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |