3

Spirit Of Jenny
4yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 68
Southwell · Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap (Div 2) · 6f 17y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
87%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Leicester | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Southwell | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-07 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Southwell | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Haydock | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Newmarket | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2025 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 17/06/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 12/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 08/08/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 05/09/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 29/09/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 07/04/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 30/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |