3

Spirit Of Jenny

4yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 68

Southwell · Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap (Div 2) · 6f 17y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

87%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has had a good year from 3 starts this season, winning over C&D in April. 10/3, creditable second of 8 in handicap at Leicester (6f, firm) when last seen in May. Remains relatively unexposed and can go well again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Leicester 26/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 12726/0555 @ Southwell 17/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f16y Std 1265 @ Chester 12/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 7f1y Goo 12812/0755 @ Newmarket 08/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 67 · 7f Goo 128 · beat its mark08/08/2025 · OR 67 par5 @ Haydock 05/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 67 · 6f212y Goo 134 · beat its mark05/09/2025 · OR 67 par5/095OR 675 @ Southwell 29/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 66 · 6f16y Std 132 · beat its mark29/09/2025 · OR 66 par5 @ Southwell 07/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 64 · 7f14y Std 142 · beat its mark07/04/2026 · OR 64 par7/045OR 646 @ Southwell 30/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 65 · 6f16y Std 135 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Leicester 25/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 68 · 6f Goo 134 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 68 par25/055OR 68projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-25Leicester52nd2nd0
2026-04-30Southwell61st2nd1
2026-04-07Southwell52nd2nd0
2025-09-29Southwell58th8th0
2025-09-05Haydock57th7th0
2025-08-08Newmarket53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/058/087/0425/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/05/20252nd40/10%86%+0.86
17/06/20254th5/174%57%-0.17
12/07/20252nd5/174%80%+0.06
08/08/20253rd25/10%71%+0.71
05/09/20257th9/153%33%-0.19
29/09/20258th22/10%42%+0.42
07/04/20262nd16/116%88%+0.72
30/04/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
25/05/20262nd10/382%86%+0.03