12
Cloth Of Gold
4yo Gelding · 8-5 · OR 83
Southwell · Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 24y
#9
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Newbury | 4 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-07-04 | Sandown | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 2 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Newcastle | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-09-18 | Ayr | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2024 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.77 |
| 04/11/2024 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 90% | -0.04 |
| 12/12/2024 | 3rd | 4/11 | 98% | 67% | -0.31 |
| 18/09/2025 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 17% | -0.25 |
| 04/10/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 12/06/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.45 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 17/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |