9
Port Of London
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 88
Southwell · Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 24y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-22 | Lingfield | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-10-01 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2025-09-15 | Kempton | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-09-02 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-07-21 | Windsor | 5 | 13th | 17th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength99%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/2025 | 13th | 15/8 | 90% | 8% | -0.82 |
| 02/09/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 92% | +0.03 |
| 15/09/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 01/10/2025 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 25% | -0.64 |
| 22/12/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |