2
Spinning Wheel
4yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 102
Southwell · Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 24y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.4
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Goodwood | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Leicester | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-18 | Ayr | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-06-18 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2025-05-29 | Yarmouth | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 13
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 29/05/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 18/06/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 18/09/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 06/06/2026 | 12th | 16/5 | 83% | 8% | -0.75 |