12

Cavalry Call

5yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 58

Southwell · Download The At The Races App Handicap · 1m 3f 24y

#13

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful at best, but didn't offer much promise for R. Mike Smith (including over hurdles) and has failed to beat a rival in 2 starts for current yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength64%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ayr 09/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 79 · 1m Gd 136 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/08/2025 · OR 79 par9/084OR 794 @ Haydock 04/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 77 · 1m2f42y Goo 139 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/09/2025 · OR 77 par5 @ Ayr 18/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 75 · 1m Goo 140 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/09/2025 · OR 75 par18/095OR 754 @ Ayr 30/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 72 · 1m2f Sft 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/09/2025 · OR 72 par4 @ Newcastle 27/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 70 · 1m2f42y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/11/2025 · OR 70 par27/114OR 705 @ Newcastle 20/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 68 · 1m2f42y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/01/2026 · OR 68 par4 @ Kelso 02/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 2m51y GS 157 · HIGHER CLASS2/0446 @ Doncaster 16/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 65 · 1m3f197y Goo 140 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Newcastle 25/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 62 · 1m2f42y Sta 132 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 62 par25/076OR 62projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Newcastle613th13th0
2026-05-16Doncaster67th7th0
2026-04-02Kelso49th7th+2
2026-03-06Ayr4+2
2026-01-20Newcastle58th7th+1
2025-11-27Newcastle47th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0830/092/0425/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 13
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength1%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 12th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20258th100/10%0%0.00
04/09/20258th150/10%46%+0.46
18/09/20257th12/137%33%-0.04
30/09/20257th50/10%0%0.00
27/11/20257th125/10%33%+0.33
20/01/20268th16/116%30%+0.14
02/04/20269th300/10%11%+0.11
16/05/20267th18/15%0%-0.05
25/07/202613th66/10%0%0.00