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6

Golspie

6yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 62

Southwell · Download The At The Races App Handicap · 1m 3f 24y

#4

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Yet to win this year, though had racked up a sequence of in-frame efforts prior to finishing sixth of 13 at Newcastle (1¼m) 12 days ago. Often starts slowly, but he's capable of being in the mix now only 1 lb above his last winning mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength71%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 06/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 65 · 1m4f98y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 65 par6/035OR 655 @ Newcastle 12/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 64 · 1m4f98y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/03/2026 · OR 64 par6 @ Newcastle 19/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 65 · 1m2f42y Std 135 · beat its mark19/03/2026 · OR 65 par19/036OR 655 @ Doncaster 28/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 64 · 1m2f43y Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 64 par5 @ Haydock 22/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 65 · 1m2f42y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 65 par22/055OR 656 @ Kempton 10/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 64 · 1m2f219y Sta 134 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 64 par4 @ Chester 13/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 64 · 1m4f63y Goo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 64 par13/064OR 645 @ Newcastle 27/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 63 · 1m4f98y Sta 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Newcastle 25/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 63 · 1m2f42y Sta 133 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 63 par25/076OR 63projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Newcastle66th6th0
2026-06-27Newcastle53rd2nd+1
2026-06-13Chester44th2nd+2
2026-06-10Kempton64th4th0
2026-05-22Haydock53rd2nd+1
2026-03-28Doncaster52nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0328/0313/0625/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength80%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/03/20262nd13/266%83%+0.18
12/03/20264th5/287%57%-0.30
19/03/20264th3/184%67%-0.18
28/03/20262nd7/163%92%+0.29
22/05/20263rd6/168%75%+0.07
10/06/20264th17/255%77%+0.22
13/06/20264th17/255%57%+0.02
27/06/20263rd17/255%82%+0.27
25/07/20266th13/266%58%-0.07