13
Into Combat
4yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 57
Southwell · Download The At The Races App Handicap · 1m 3f 24y
#10
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength65%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Nottingham | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Newmarket | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-10-15 | Nottingham | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-09-17 | Beverley | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-08-28 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength22%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/2024 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 42% | -0.35 |
| 17/08/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 28/08/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 17/09/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 30% | -0.41 |
| 15/10/2025 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 10% | -0.32 |
| 20/06/2026 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 10% | -0.58 |
| 04/07/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 70% | -0.19 |