Norflondonforever
5yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 63
Southwell · Download The At The Races App Handicap · 1m 3f 24y
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Windsor | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Salisbury | 5 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Haydock | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-04-15 | Kempton | 5 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-04-04 | Leicester | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-03-21 | Southwell | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12/2024 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 11/01/2025 | 3rd | 125/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 21/03/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 04/04/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 15/04/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 22/05/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 14/06/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 20/07/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |