1
Bellerophon
4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 90
Vaal · 4Racing Welcomes You Mr 90 Handicap · 1m 5f 203y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength86%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Vaal | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Turffontein | ? | 8th | 2nd | +5 |
| 2026-03-14 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | 0th | +5 |
| 2026-02-19 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 15/01/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 42% | -0.35 |
| 10/02/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |
| 19/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 14/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 04/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |