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2

Corrupt

5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 84

Vaal · 4Racing Welcomes You Mr 90 Handicap · 1m 5f 203y

#1

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

93%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

2 wins from 4 runs this year. 2/1, career best when winning 5-runner handicap at Turffontein (12.9f, good) 28 days ago by 3¼ lengths from Green Machine. Progressing well recently.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength52%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Greyville 26/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m3f205y GS 130 · HIGHER CLASS26/094C0 @ Greyville 12/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f98y Gd 115C1 @ Turffontein 01/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m3f205y GS 119 · HIGHER CLASS1/11C1C0 @ Turffontein 29/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m7f200y GS 110C6 @ Turffontein 16/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m3f205y Gd 13016/12C6C5 @ Turffontein 09/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Vaal 21/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m3f205y Gd 12821/05C6C5 @ Turffontein 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m3f205y Gd 116 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Turffontein 09/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 1m4f204y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS9/07C6projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Turffontein?1st1st+0
2026-06-27Turffontein?1st1st+0
2026-05-21Vaal?3rd3rd−0
2026-04-09Turffontein?7th6th+1
2025-12-16Turffontein?6th6th−0
2025-11-29Turffontein?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0929/1121/059/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength93%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/09/20252nd4/179%86%+0.07
12/10/20258th8/158%30%-0.28
01/11/20253rd9/276%80%+0.04
29/11/20253rd5/174%80%+0.06
16/12/20256th9/276%17%-0.60
09/04/20267th14/126%33%+0.07
21/05/20263rd7/282%71%-0.10
27/06/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
09/07/20261st15/890%100%+0.10