4
Taxhaven
6yo Horse · 9-5 · OR 58
Vaal · 4Racing Welcomes You Mr 90 Handicap · 1m 5f 203y
#5
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength100%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: +3.1
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Greyville | ? | 10th | 4th | +5 |
| 2026-06-14 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Vaal | ? | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Turffontein | ? | 5th | -1th | +5 |
| 2026-04-04 | Turffontein | ? | 9th | 3rd | +5 |
| 2026-03-28 | Vaal | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength35%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 05/03/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/03/2026 | 12th | 100/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 28/03/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 04/04/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 28/04/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 04/07/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |