6
Bell Of Angelus
4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 56
Vaal · youcanbetonus! Mr 66 Handicap · 4f 214y
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Turffontein | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-07-02 | Vaal | ? | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Turffontein | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Turffontein | ? | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vaal | ? | 11th | 11th | −0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Turffontein | ? | 7th | 7th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength28%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/2026 | 15th | 66/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 30/04/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 07/05/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 26/05/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 07/06/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 27/06/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 16/07/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |