2

Caladrius

3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 68

Vaal · youcanbetonus! Mr 66 Handicap · 4f 214y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/5

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

93%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

87/100 and blinkered for 1st time, didn't need to be at best when winning 9-runner maiden at this C&D (good) 14 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Looks well in.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 29/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 3f215y GS 12729/11C8C8 @ Turffontein 01/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1321/01C8C8 @ Turffontein 14/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13214/06C8C8 @ Vaal 02/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1322/07C8C8 @ Vaal 23/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 12623/07C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Vaal?1st2nd1
2026-07-02Vaal?4th5th1
2026-06-14Turffontein?3rd4th1
2026-01-01Turffontein?6th7th1
2025-11-29Turffontein?10th11th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/111/0114/062/0723/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength96%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/11/202510th16/116%36%+0.20
01/01/20266th11/893%17%-0.76
14/06/20263rd9/488%83%-0.05
02/07/20264th9/276%73%-0.04
23/07/20261st4/596%100%+0.04