5

Jet Cat

11yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 59

Vaal · youcanbetonus! Mr 66 Handicap · 4f 214y

#2

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

3-time C&D winner. Latest win here in January. Respectable fifth of 12 in handicap (14/1) at this course (6f, good) 35 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength49%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Vaal 26/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS26/08C7C7 @ Vaal 25/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 5f103y Sft 126 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Vaal 28/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 5f212y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS28/10C7C7 @ Turffontein 02/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Vaal 20/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS20/12C7C7 @ Vaal 27/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Vaal 02/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS2/04C7C7 @ Vaal 14/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Vaal 02/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS2/07C7projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-02Vaal?5th5th+0
2026-05-14Vaal?5th5th+0
2026-04-02Vaal?4th4th+0
2026-01-27Vaal?1st1st+0
2025-12-20Vaal?7th7th+0
2025-12-02Turffontein?8th8th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/082/122/042/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength41%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20253rd8/158%80%+0.22
25/09/20256th15/261%44%-0.16
28/10/20254th12/137%75%+0.38
02/12/20258th11/142%13%-0.30
20/12/20257th11/142%45%+0.03
27/01/20261st17/255%100%+0.45
02/04/20264th15/261%70%+0.09
14/05/20265th4/179%56%-0.23
02/07/20265th14/126%64%+0.37