7
Oriental Bouquet
6yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 29
Vaal · youcanbetonus! Mr 66 Handicap · 4f 214y
#3
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength73%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Turffontein | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vaal | ? | 10th | 10th | −0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Vaal | ? | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Vaal | ? | 6th | 6th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength1%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 24/02/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 05/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 02/04/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 23/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 26/05/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 18% | +0.02 |
| 21/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |