8
Capman Fal
4yo Filly · 8-9
Vichy · Prix Du Parc Napoleon Iii Handicap · 1m 7f 199y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-14 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Strasbourg | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 14/07/2025 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 21% | -0.05 |
| 18/04/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 08/05/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 27/05/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 16/06/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 53% | +0.38 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 29% | -0.62 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |