7
Darlyvi
8yo Mare · 8-12
Vichy · Prix Du Parc Napoleon Iii Handicap · 1m 7f 199y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | 2 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength79%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 26/10/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 15/12/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 13/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 27/05/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |