4
Mon Vieux Leon
8yo Gelding · 9-5
Vichy · Prix Du Parc Napoleon Iii Handicap · 1m 7f 199y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-05-24 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-07 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Nantes | ? | 9th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-10-21 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength57%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2024 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 21/08/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 22/09/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 09/10/2025 | 13th | 11/1 | 42% | 14% | -0.28 |
| 21/10/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 47% | -0.11 |
| 01/11/2025 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 79% | +0.63 |