5
Mozart Des Brieres
6yo Gelding · 9-3
Vichy · Prix Du Parc Napoleon Iii Handicap · 1m 7f 199y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Tarbes | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 31/03/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 53% | -0.15 |
| 29/04/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 11% | -0.55 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 62% | +0.56 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 23/07/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |