1
Niagaro
7yo Horse · 10-5
Vichy · Prix Du Parc Napoleon Iii Handicap · 1m 7f 199y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength41%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Dieppe | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2022-11-09 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 4th | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength35%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2022 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 63% | -0.22 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 28/06/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |