4
Howabouthatnow
4yo Gelding · 9-2
Vichy · Prix De Saint-didier-la-foret Claiming Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#7
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/2025 | 9th | 11/4 | 86% | 11% | -0.74 |
| 16/12/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 15/01/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 69% | +0.17 |
| 24/01/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 11/02/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 24/02/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 02/07/2026 | 15th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |