7

Poet's Black

9yo Gelding · 8-0

Vichy · Prix De Saint-didier-la-foret Claiming Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#2

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

47%

Place Prob

46%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Deauville 06/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 1286/0244 @ Lyon La Soie 02/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 1204 @ Moulins 09/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1259/0444 @ Saint-Cloud 24/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y GS 1234 @ Vichy 13/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 12313/0544 @ Salon-De-Provence 25/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1214 @ ParisLongchamp 04/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 1244/0644 @ Saint-Cloud 08/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1284 @ Vichy 23/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12223/074projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Vichy414th14th0
2026-07-08Saint-Cloud49th9th0
2026-06-04ParisLongchamp412th12th0
2026-05-25Salon-De-Provence48th8th0
2026-05-13Vichy41st1st0
2026-04-24Saint-Cloud45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0224/044/0623/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/02/20265th18/15%69%+0.64
02/03/20268th8/158%30%-0.28
09/04/20262nd18/15%90%+0.85
24/04/20265th9/153%73%+0.21
13/05/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
25/05/20268th5/174%0%-0.74
04/06/202612th22/10%27%+0.27
08/07/20269th15/261%43%-0.18
23/07/202614th50/10%7%+0.07