7

Poet's Black
9yo Gelding · 8-0
Vichy · Prix De Saint-didier-la-foret Claiming Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#2
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
47%
Place Prob
46%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 69% | +0.64 |
| 02/03/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 30% | -0.28 |
| 09/04/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 90% | +0.85 |
| 24/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.21 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 25/05/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 04/06/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 08/07/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 23/07/2026 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |